Every Possibility Mock Draft
I have compiled a mock draft that lists multiple possibilities for each team. The problem that I encountered with this experiment is trying to accurately place DT/DE prospects. Each team will grade DL prospects differently, and there is really no runaway favorite from that position. Many mock drafters have this same problem, and therefore it's hard to tell whether these guys (Coples, Poe, Cox, Ingram, Perry, Brockers, Branch, Mercilus, Upshaw, McClellin, Jones) will go at #7 or #32.
There is a decent chance that one of these guys will trickle down to #27, but will Belichick finally find an impact pass rusher, or will he be conservative in drafting Peter Konz, a center?
1. IND- Luck
2. WAS- RG3
3. MIN- Matt Kalil (OT) / Justin Blackmon (WR)
1. IND- Luck
2. WAS- RG3
3. MIN- Matt Kalil (OT) / Justin Blackmon (WR)
4. CLE - Blackmon / Trent Richardson (RB) / Kalil
5. TB - Richardson / Morris Clayborne (CB)
6. STL - Kalil / Blackmon / Clayborne / Richardson
7. JAX - Melvin Ingram (DE) / Quinton Coples (DE) / Andre Branch (DE)
8. MIA - Ryan Tannehill (QB) / Big Surprise
9. CAR - DE/DT - Poe, Cox, Brockers, Coples, Ingram, ?Upshaw?
10. BUF - Riley Reiff (OT), Jonathan Martin (OT), Michael Floyd (WR)
11. KC - David DeCastro (G)
12. SEA - Luke Kuechly (ILB) or trade to Philadelphia
13. AZ - Michael Floyd (WR) / Riley Reiff (OT) / Jonathan Martin (OT)
14. DAL - Mark Barron (SS) / Dre Kirkpatrick (CB)
15. PHI- Cordy Glenn (OT) / Cox / Brockers / Poe
16. NYJ - Barron / Ingram / Coples / Poe / Branch (DE)
17. CIN - Stephon Gilmore (CB) / Brockers / Coples / Branch
18. SD - Cordy Glenn (OT) / Whitney Mercilus (DE)
19. CHI - Mercilus / Gilmore / Coples / Branch
20. TEN - Kirkpatrick / Gilmore / Janoris Jenkins (CB)
21. CIN - Kendall Wright (WR) / Jenkins / Kirkpatrick
22. CLE - Stephen Hill (WR) / Michael Floyd (WR) / Jonathan Martin (OT)
23. DET - Nick Perry (DE) / Mike Adams (OT) / Jonathan Martin
24. PIT - Donta Hightower (ILB) / Mike Adams (OT)
25. DEN - Brockers / Jerel Worthy / Poe / Lamar Miller (RB)
26. TEX - Coby Fleener (TE) / Kendall Wright (WR)
27. NE - Cox / Brockers / Upshaw / Perry / Mercilus/ McClellin / Peter Konz (C)
28. GB - Upshaw / Shea McClellin (DE) / Chandler Jones (DE) / Mercilus
29. BAL - Upshaw / Konz / Fleener
30. SF - Poe / Jones / Stephen Hill (WR) / Alshon Jeffery (WR)
31. NE - best CB available / Harrison Smith (FS) / Trade down
32. NYG - Coby Fleener / Mike Adams / best DT
Players with most impact on the draft order come from the DE / DT class which has "too much depth." I think that many of these heralded prospects will flop upon entry into the league, and teams must avoid a "best DL available approach" These prospects need to be carefully scouted on an individual level, and resist the urge to reach for talent is the right guy is not available at your selection.
*Harrison Smith - Simply not worth a first round pick, but could go at the top of the 2nd round. This situation puts Bill Belichick in an interesting conundrum. How many spots will he leave him on the board? I don't think he will make it all the way down to 48, so I think the 31st pick will be traded away for a higher 2nd round pick.
5. TB - Richardson / Morris Clayborne (CB)
6. STL - Kalil / Blackmon / Clayborne / Richardson
7. JAX - Melvin Ingram (DE) / Quinton Coples (DE) / Andre Branch (DE)
8. MIA - Ryan Tannehill (QB) / Big Surprise
9. CAR - DE/DT - Poe, Cox, Brockers, Coples, Ingram, ?Upshaw?
10. BUF - Riley Reiff (OT), Jonathan Martin (OT), Michael Floyd (WR)
11. KC - David DeCastro (G)
12. SEA - Luke Kuechly (ILB) or trade to Philadelphia
13. AZ - Michael Floyd (WR) / Riley Reiff (OT) / Jonathan Martin (OT)
14. DAL - Mark Barron (SS) / Dre Kirkpatrick (CB)
15. PHI- Cordy Glenn (OT) / Cox / Brockers / Poe
16. NYJ - Barron / Ingram / Coples / Poe / Branch (DE)
17. CIN - Stephon Gilmore (CB) / Brockers / Coples / Branch
18. SD - Cordy Glenn (OT) / Whitney Mercilus (DE)
19. CHI - Mercilus / Gilmore / Coples / Branch
20. TEN - Kirkpatrick / Gilmore / Janoris Jenkins (CB)
21. CIN - Kendall Wright (WR) / Jenkins / Kirkpatrick
22. CLE - Stephen Hill (WR) / Michael Floyd (WR) / Jonathan Martin (OT)
23. DET - Nick Perry (DE) / Mike Adams (OT) / Jonathan Martin
24. PIT - Donta Hightower (ILB) / Mike Adams (OT)
25. DEN - Brockers / Jerel Worthy / Poe / Lamar Miller (RB)
26. TEX - Coby Fleener (TE) / Kendall Wright (WR)
27. NE - Cox / Brockers / Upshaw / Perry / Mercilus/ McClellin / Peter Konz (C)
28. GB - Upshaw / Shea McClellin (DE) / Chandler Jones (DE) / Mercilus
29. BAL - Upshaw / Konz / Fleener
30. SF - Poe / Jones / Stephen Hill (WR) / Alshon Jeffery (WR)
31. NE - best CB available / Harrison Smith (FS) / Trade down
32. NYG - Coby Fleener / Mike Adams / best DT
Players with most impact on the draft order come from the DE / DT class which has "too much depth." I think that many of these heralded prospects will flop upon entry into the league, and teams must avoid a "best DL available approach" These prospects need to be carefully scouted on an individual level, and resist the urge to reach for talent is the right guy is not available at your selection.
*Harrison Smith - Simply not worth a first round pick, but could go at the top of the 2nd round. This situation puts Bill Belichick in an interesting conundrum. How many spots will he leave him on the board? I don't think he will make it all the way down to 48, so I think the 31st pick will be traded away for a higher 2nd round pick.
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